(Market Review – Week 48, 2023)
Handysize Rates:
The Atlantic trade has strengthened, driven by strong demand for grain and raw material shipments from the US Gulf. This demand, combined with longer waiting times at the Panama Canal, has pushed spot rates up by $3–4k per day for vessels and $3–4 per ton on time charters. The key driver of rate growth on the US East Coast and in Central America has been a significant shortage of tonnage.
Handysize rates in the Mediterranean remain stable amid steady shipments from Ukrainian ports. For example, the rate from the Black Sea to SpanMed averages around $40. The rise in cross-Atlantic market rates is also supported by a shortage of vessels, especially on the US East Coast, where the cost of wheat transportation from New Orleans to Alexandria has increased to $39–40 per ton.
Charter Rates for Supramax:
There is an increase in demand along the East Coast of South America, on the Continent, and in the Mediterranean, which so far has not been offset by the redistribution of tonnage from other regions.
In the Black Sea basin, there is a noticeable recovery in grain exports, as well as metals and coal (to a lesser extent), which continue to drive demand for tonnage.
Regular shipments of Indonesian coal are supporting demand for Supramax/Ultramax tonnage in the Asia–Pacific region, with a slight increase in rates due to growth in the Cross-Atlantic trade and a small reduction in available tonnage in the region. Both Supramax and Ultramax segments show rising rates along the East Coast of South America, the Continent, and the Mediterranean. Stable demand is shaping an optimistic sentiment among shipowners and is reflected in firm offers for prompt cargoes. In addition, demand for cargoes to Northern Europe has slightly increased, supported by rising scrap exports and stable supplies of fertilizers and grain, further driving rate growth. However, from Northern Europe, cargo offers for Supramax tonnage in the Black Sea have not seen significant growth.
Multipurpose Rates
A decline of 2–3% in time-charter rates has been observed due to project delays, unmet expectations of increased demand from the wind energy sector, as well as reduced activity in the market for small parcels of general cargo and raw materials.
Seasonal slowdown, particularly in August–September, has led to a weakening of the market, largely influenced by a decline in the spot market for small lots and containers, although rates remain above the five-year average.
Despite the short-term decrease, the market outlook remains optimistic, with expectations of rate growth in the next 6–12 months. Shipowners continue to actively invest in newbuilding projects, which indicates positive expectations for future demand.
Coaster Rates
A persistent oversupply of tonnage has put pressure on the coaster market in the Mediterranean, resulting in sideways rate trends and negotiations highly dependent on bunker fuel price fluctuations.
Despite limited trader activity, in Northern Europe shipowners are aggressively pushing for higher rates due to seasonal weather risks affecting fleet turnover and positional vessel shortages caused by longer voyage durations. However, charterers are unwilling to accept higher rates.
In the Azov Sea market, heightened demand for Russian wheat shipments, following the temporary export ban, has led to a noticeable increase in rates. Nevertheless, in the short-term perspective, rates are expected to remain at current levels, with potential downward corrections by year-end.
Market overall
BDI Baltic Exchange Dry Index | 2,259.00 | +157.00+7.47% |
BULKER
TCT Rates | Cross Atlantic ECSA | Trend expected | NORTH EUROPE / CONTINENT | Trend expected | BLACK SEA / MEDITERRANEAN | Trend expected |
Handy 38 K | 10500 | + | 15100 | + | 9000 | + |
TCT Rates | Cross Atlantic ECSA | Trend expected | NORTH EUROPE / CONTINENT | Trend expected | BLACK SEA / MEDITERRANEAN | Trend expected |
Supra 57 k | 17000 | + | 18500 | + | 12500 | + |
MPP
w/wide | Trend expected | FE - Baltic | Trend expected | FE - MED | Trend expected | |
F type | 13 000 usd p\day | + | ||||
Lot 3000 FRTNs | 140 usd | - | 120 usd | - |
Coaster 3-5k wheat 47'SF
Per tonn | Trend expected | |
Azov – Marmara | 65 | + |
Astrakhan – NIP | 96 | + |
Azov – EMED | 95 | + |
Reni- Marmara | 30 | + |
Reni – EMED | 39 | + |
Sincerely, Konstantin Grinevich and Glogos Project
About Us
For more than 15 years, we have been helping our clients deliver their cargo in the most efficient way — without unnecessary risks and at a fair market price.
Our Address
St. Petersburg, Zhdanovskaya St., 45
chartering@glogos.net
project@glogos.net
+7 (812) 309-81-20
Client Service
Our managers will be happy to calculate the cost of your shipment.